NZ Votes 08 Poll: Updated as at 17 July

NZ VOTES '08: A poll that was posted to the NZ Votes 08 blog page when it was set up has found that while both Labour and National are neck-in-neck, the Act party could be the big decider.

So far, 16 votes have been made. Only Labour (31%), National (31%), Act (18%), Greens (12%) and United Future (6%) make the 5% threshold required for a party to secure seats in Parliament without an electorate seat.

For either Labour or National to gain power under these results, both would need the support of at least Act and United Future or Greens. However a main party could not win without Act. Because Labour and Act are highly unlikely to go together as partners in Government, chances are that National if it forms an agreement between Act and the Greens and/or United Future, then there would be a change of Government at the coming election.

Alternatively, there could be a grand coalition between Labour and National, making the three other minor parties part of the opposition.

If there are major changes to the poll numbers next month, there will be a further poll update then. To vote, see the panel to the right of the main NZ Votes '08 page.