Friday 7 November 2008

National ahead but behind Labour/Green bloc in latest poll

RADIO NEW ZEALAND: The last opinion poll to be released before the election puts the National Party ahead of Labour by 7.5 points.

Four other polls published on Thursday and Friday also put National in the lead, by a greater margin.

The Roy Morgan poll published on Friday evening put National at 42% support, down one point from the previous poll, and Labour up 2.5 points to 34.5% - giving National a 7.5% lead.

Support for the Greens was down 1.5 points to 10%.

New Zealand First was on 4.5%, ACT was on 4% support, the Maori Party recorded 2.5%, while United Future was on 1%.

Radio New Zealand's political editor says the Roy Morgan poll has the smallest gap between the two major parties of the five most recent surveys.

He says under that scenario National would have the best chance of forming a Government, but Labour could still do so if the Maori Party supported it.

The telephone poll carried out between 20 October and 2 November surveyed 1,038 voters and has a margin of error of 3.2%.

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